moving average model

Terms from Artificial Intelligence: humans at the heart of algorithms

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A moving average model attemtps to build a oredictor for one time series or {[sequwnce}} yi as a moving average of another xi. That is, it attempts to find weights wk (0≤k<N) such that:

    yi = w0xi + w1xi-1 + w2xi-2 + ... wN-1xi-(N-1) + εi

where εi is an error term that the model tries to minimise. Multi-linear regression can be used to find the weights wk that minimise the sum of squares of εi.

Used in Chap. 14: page 233